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Practice Productive Paranoia (Avoid the 5 Stages of Decline)

The first step in being built to last is don’t die. The only mistakes you can learn from are the ones you survive. Every company is vulnerable to decline. There’s no law of nature that the most successful companies will inevitably remain at the top. Any can fall and most eventually do. Entrepreneurs who build great companies differ from less successful comparisons in how they maintain hypervigilance in good times and bad. Leaders who navigate turbulence and stave off decline assume that conditions can unexpectedly change, violently and fast. They obsessively ask, “What if? What if? What if?” By preparing ahead of time, building reserves, preserving a margin of safety, bounding risk, and honing their discipline in good times and bad, they handle disruptions from a position of strength and flexibility. Productive paranoia helps inoculate organizations from falling into the 5 Stages of Decline that can stop the flywheel and destroy an organization. Those stages are (1) Hubris Born of Success, (2) Undisciplined Pursuit of More, (3) Denial of Risk and Peril, (4) Grasping for Salvation, and (5) Capitulation to Irrelevance or Death.