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External Assessment

There are seven components of a good external assessment:

  • Industry/market trends
  • Technology trends
  • Competitor assessment
  • Social and regulatory environment
  • Macroeconomy and demographics
  • International threats and opportunities
  • Overall threats and opportunities

INDUSTRY/MARKET TRENDS

Take a quick snapshot of your industry…

  • Most importantly, what are your customers telling you about their evolving needs? What are they telling you about how well your company is meeting their needs? How are customer demands changing? Direct input from your customers is an essential part of setting strategy. Get input directly from your customers regularly. They can tell you what’s going on in your market because they are the market. They can also tell you about your competitors. It’s wise to survey your customers at least once per year as an integral part of setting strategy.
  • At what stage of evolution is your industry? What does this imply in terms of how the industry might change in the next five years? See nearby diagram, “Stages of Industry Evolution,” as a backdrop to this analysis. (Various versions of this chart are common in strategic management and marketing literature. A more detailed version can be found in Competitive Strategy by Michael Porter.)

All industries, even “low tech” industries, have a technology component to their evolution, either in products or in process. Every industry is somehow affected by changes in technology. For example, the banking industry, which has not historically been known as “high tech,” was nonetheless dramatically changed by computer technology. In back-room processing, effective use of computers became a key strategic advantage for those who mastered their use quickly. In services to customers, adoption of ATMs became an essential part of banking services.

Examine the technology trends in your own industry and ask how you can best use them to your advantage. The question is not whether technology trends will affect your industry, but how.

Never underestimate your competition. One of the biggest mistakes in mapping out a strategy is doing so in ignorance of the competition or, worse, with disdain for the competition.

  • Who are your current competitors?
  • Who are potential competitors?
  • What are their strengths and weaknesses?
  • What do you anticipate as being their future moves in the market? What are their visions and strategies?
  • How do your strengths, weaknesses, and product line stack up against the competition? Where are they vulnerable? Where are you vulnerable?
  • Do you have a clear, differentiated position with respect to your competitors? What is it?”

Examine the general macroeconomic climate and assess what impact the overall economy might have on your company.

Pay particular attention to demographic trends. Entire industries can be dramatically affected by demographic changes. For example, the United States’s “baby boom” (a gigantic bulge in the birth rate from 1945 to 1960) will continue to have a profound impact on a wide range of industries until at least the year 2020. This is only one of many demographic forces…

In preparing for a strategy session, ask a selected group of employees, managers, and objective outsiders to list the top three external opportunities and top three external threats facing the company. This is a quick and efficient way to tap the insights of a range of people as input to your external assessment.

Throughout the internal and external assessment process, it’s absolutely paramount that you do everything possible to see reality—to see things as they really are and not the way you wish they were.