There is no higher and simpler law of strategy than that of keeping oneâs forces concentrated,â wrote Clausewitz. (Side note: If youâre interested in a smart overview of the history of military strategy, including Clausewitzâs work, I recommend U.S. Naval War College Professor Andrew R. Wilsonâs Teaching Company course Masters of War: Historyâs Greatest Strategic Thinkers. I also recommend the essays of retired West Point professor Dr. Michael Hennelly, who has done extensive thinking on the translation of strategic principles into the business world.)
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Clausewitz insisted on aggressively following up after concentrating force at the decisive point. Any strategy that doesnât account for how to exploit victory is incomplete, inadequate. âWhat remains true under all imaginable conditions,â he wrote, âis that no victory will be effective without pursuit; and no matter how brief the exploitation of victory, it must always go further than an immediate follow-up.
I was also told that a brand-new CEO shouldnât be trying to make huge acquisitions. I was âcrazy,â as one of our investment bankers put it, because the numbers would never work out and this was an impossible âsaleâ to the street.
The banker had a point. Itâs true that on paper the deal didnât make obvious sense. But I felt certain that this level of ingenuity was worth more than any of us understood or could calculate at the time. Itâs perhaps not the most responsible advice in a book like this to say that leaders should just go out there and trust their gut, because it might be interpreted as endorsing impulsivity over thoughtfulness, gambling rather than careful study. As with everything, the key is awareness, taking it all in and weighing every factorâyour own motivations, what the people you trust are saying, what careful study and analysis tell you, and then what analysis canât tell you. You carefully consider all of these factors, understanding that no two circumstances are alike, and then, if youâre in charge, it still ultimately comes down to instinct. Is this right or isnât it? Nothing is a sure thing, but you need at the very least to be willing to take big risks. You canât have big wins without them.
Intelligence Wins Wars
Perhaps the most difficult part of good strategy is hard-nosed competitive analysis. Almost every institution develops a pride in itself; it wants to believe itâs the bestâŚ
But facts are facts, and theyâve got to be assembled on a continuous, unbiased basis. Products have to be torn down and examined for cost, features, and functionality. Each element of the income statement and balance sheet has to be examined with total objectivity vis-Ă -vis competitors. What are their distribution costs? How many salespeople do they have? How are their salespeople paid? What do distributors think about them v. us? There are hundreds of questions that need analytical examination and which then must be pulled together in comprehensive, deep competitive assessments.
I am reminded that good strategies are usually âcorner solutions.â That is, they emphasize focus over compromise. They focus on one aspect of the situation, not trying to be all things to all people.
In 1944 the US Office for Strategic Services (the precursor of the CIA) produced a âsabotage manualâ to advise people in occupied European states on how to obstruct the conduct of the war with little personal risk. Suggestions included:
- Insist on doing everything through âchannelsâ. Never permit short-cuts to be taken in order to expedite decisions.
- Make âspeechesâ. Talk as frequently as possible, and at great length. Illustrate your âpointsâ by long anecdotes and accounts of personal experiences.
- When possible, refer all matters to committees, for âfurther study and considerationâ. Attempt to make the committee as large as possible â never less than five.
- Bring up irrelevant issues as frequently as possible.
- Haggle over precise wordings of communications, minutes, resolutions.
- Refer back to matters decided upon at the last meeting and attempt to re-open the question of the advisability of that decision.
- Advocate âcautionâ. Be âreasonableâ and urge your fellow-conferees to be âreasonableâ and avoid haste which might result in embarrassments or difficulties later on.
Many readers, especially academic ones, will be able to testify to the continuing effectiveness of these techniques even in peacetime.