Myers as an artist and musician who had consulted with businesses through the Myers Institute for Creative Studies; Ray as a social psychologist and business professor who started bringing creativity into classes in the early sixties. We had each repeatedly observed that without the involvement of some very deep personal sources of creativity, idea-generating techniques used alone could produce confusion - or at best, short-term gains. As with the proverbial Chinese meal, an hour later and you’re hungry again.

First, spot the similarities. Over time, the strategies of incumbents tend to converge. A useful exercise is to overlay the business models of companies in the same industry and then look for areas of overlap. Wherever you see competitors doing the same thing, ask yourself, “What’s the shared assumption behind this policy or practice?” and then, “What would happen if we challenged that belief?” For centuries, innkeepers assumed you had to own rooms to offer guests a bed for the night. Airbnb inverted this belief and now has more than six million listings across the world.

Second, focus on what hasn’t changed. What aspects of your strategy have remained stagnant for years or decades? Over time, legacy practices, like wallpaper, become invisible. Your job is to question whether those 12 13 taken-for-granted practices still make sense. For example, though it endured a lot of pushback from traditional carmakers, Tesla challenged the long-held practice of selling cars through independent dealers. The company’s sleek stores, often located in luxury shopping venues, offer customers a hassle-free buying process. Tesla understands that the best orthodoxies to challenge are those that degrade the customer experience.

Third, go to extremes. Pick some parameter of performance—price, choice, availability, speed—and ask what would happen if we aimed for a 10X improvement? Fifty years ago, a retired physician, Dr. Govindappa Venkataswamy, launched an epic quest to eradicate unnecessary blindness in India. Millions of his compatriots had cataracts but couldn’t afford corrective surgery. How, Dr. V. wondered, could he reduce the cost of surgery by 90 percent or more? For inspiration, he looked at the fast-food industry. “If McDonald’s can sell millions of burgers,” he thought, “why can’t [we] sell millions of sight-restoring operations?” Today, Dr. V.’s network of specialty hospitals, the Aravind Eye Care System, performs half a million cataract surgeries annually.

Shortly after the modern Starbucks was founded in 1987, this story was the heart of Schultz’s presentation to the Starbucks board of directors, along with his recommendation to establish full medical benefits and stock option ownership for all employees as long as they worked twenty hours a week. While the board initially dismissed the idea as unaffordable, especially for an early-stage company, Schultz’s ability to use both analytical and emotional reasoning won the day. He argued that such a program would pay for itself in three years if it reduced by half the high employee turnover common to the specialty retailing and food service industry. And he pulled on the heartstrings of the directors by talking about the kind of company that he wanted to build, one that he wished his father could have worked for. In the end the board approved the proposal, and the Starbucks Bean Stalk program was born. To this day the program (which incidentally was so successful in reducing employee turnover that it paid for itself in one year) is at the core of the company’s culture and organizational strategy.

In the same way, a good business strategy deals with the edge between the known and the unknown. Again, it is competition with others that pushes us to edges of knowledge. Only there are found the opportunities to keep ahead of rivals. There is no avoiding it. That uneasy sense of ambiguity you feel is real. It is the scent of opportunity…

Similarly, we test a new strategic insight against well-established principles and against our accumulated knowledge about the business. If it passes those hurdles, we are faced with trying it out and seeing what happens.

Given that we are working on the edge, asking for a strategy that is guaranteed to work is like asking a scientist for a hypothesis that is guaranteed to be true—it is a dumb request. The problem of coming up with a good strategy has the same logical structure as the problem of coming up with a good scientific hypothesis. The key differences are that most scientific knowledge is broadly shared, whereas you are working with accumulated wisdom about your business and your industry that is unlike anyone else’s.

A good strategy is, in the end, a hypothesis about what will work. Not a wild theory, but an educated judgment. And there isn’t anyone more educated about your businesses than the group in this room.

One of the most important resources a business can have is valuable privileged information—that is, knowing something that others do not. There is nothing arcane or illicit about such information—it is generated every day in every operating business. All alert businesspeople can know more about their own customers, their own products, and their own production technology than anyone else in the world. Thus, once Schultz initiated business operations, he began to accumulate privileged information.