Clear Thinking- Shane Parrish
Preface
That night I started asking myself questions that I’d continue exploring for the next decade. How can we get better at reasoning? Why do people make bad decisions? Why do some people consistently get better results than others who have the same information? How can I be right more often, and decrease the probability of a bad outcome when lives are on the line?
Related Quotes
In order to get the results we desire, we must do two things. We must first create the space to reason in our thoughts, feelings, and actions; and second, we must deliberately use that space to think clearly. Once you have mastered this skill, you will find you have an unstoppable advantage.
Decisions made through clear thinking will put you in increasingly better positions, and success will only compound from there.
Even when we get the big decisions directionally right, we’re not guaranteed to get the results we want.
We don’t think of ordinary moments as decisions. No one taps us on the shoulder as we react to a comment by a coworker to tell us that we’re about to pour gasoline or water onto this flame.
I asked, “If you could pick one trait that would predict how someone would turn out, what would it be?”
“That’s easy,” he said. “How willing they are to change their mind about what they think they know.”
The most valuable people, he continued, weren’t the ones with the best initial ideas, but the ones with the ability to quickly change their minds. They were focused on outcome over ego. By contrast, he said, the people most likely to fail were those obsessed with minute details that supported their point of view.
Not every bad decision is rushed, nor is every good one made slowly. It’s not that simple.
People mistake choosing for decisiveness and the decision-making process for waffling. Part of what makes slowing down and reasoning through a problem difficult is that, to the outside observer, it might look like inaction. But that inaction is a choice.
Conclusion
The Value of Clear Thinking
Good judgment is expensive, but poor judgment will cost you a fortune.
The overarching message of this book is that there are invisible instincts that conspire against good judgement. Your defaults encourage you to react without reasoning— to live unconsciously rather than deliberately.
When you revert to defaults, you engage in a game you can't win. When you live a life run on autopilot, you get bad results. You make things worse. You say things that can't be unsaid and do things that can't be undone. You might accomplish your immediate goal, but you fail to realize that you’ve made it harder to achieve your ultimate goals. All of this happens without consciously being aware you are exercising judgment in the first place.