Confirmation bias may lead to seeing current difficulties in the guise of past experience, which can encourage a CEO to dig in on a flawed course of action. Our research shows that a higher proportion of repeat CEOs compared with first-timers were ousted in this stage, by almost double, possibly demonstrating their overreliance on past experience.
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The Life Cycle of a CEOâ Claudius A. Hildebrand & Robert J. Stark
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Introduction
In fact, Dave hadnât been the first choice for the CEO position, or even the second or third choice. Word was five others had been offered the job before him. Whatâs more, a couple of years earlier heâd been unceremoniously fired from his position as divisional president at a leading competitor. No one would have suggested from his educational background, either, that he was CEO material. Not only did he not have a degree from an elite school, but it also took him six years to graduate. He hated college and heâd dropped out for a time.
As Daveâs first year in the CEO seat progressed, the sneering assessments of that Florida night prevailed on the Street; the companyâs stock slid 40 percent.
All the mythologizing is so unfortunate. It has popularized badly misguided notions about how a CEO can succeed in a job thatâs not only crucial to the economic foundations of our society but also so cognitively, emotionally, and physically challenging that nearly a third of those appointed last fewer than three years in the role. The mythmaking has obscured so many important lessons we can learn from observing how CEOs struggle mightily with the changing challenges of the role. And overcome them, not only in the early going but also throughout their tenures.
Similarly, the CEO Life Cycle will help leaders play a better game by anticipating the evolving challenges of the CEO job and preparing for them. It will help CEOs recognize when they are heading into a new stage of their tenure and stay vigilant about avoiding common pitfalls made in that stage. Additionally, it will help them stay on the offense, proactively engaging in new learning and personal growth, ahead of the curve, as they progress through the stages. The findings can also help boards anticipate issues CEOs may face and engage with CEOs more vigorously to provide support at critical junctures.
Advice on combating the status quo bias by methodically rethinking business assessments and gaining perspective from outside the firm is not new. But the problem is that far too few leaders develop a rigorous and continuous discipline of doing so. And if CEOs donât impose that discipline on themselves, nobody else will.
The imperative to challenge yourself becomes more difficult to achieve the longer you have been doing the job successfully. Nigel Travis said, âBeing a CEO for longer is tougher because you have to find ways to keep improving.â Some CEOs recalled feeling less engaged in this stage, with boredom creeping in. âWhen you get into years six to ten, the intellectual stimulus is less,â one shared. âYou come in with lots of ideas,â another commented, âand then run out of them.â Someone else said, âYears six to ten is a period of time when the luster is off the rose and what was new and exciting is no longer new and exciting.
In general, board engagement in the succession process is limited until the time of the decision, which is usually within a year of the transition. Then, they might rush to judgment based on just one or perhaps two interviews with candidates, people with whom theyâve often had little or no other interactions. So little hands-on knowledge of candidates fuels the numerous cognitive biases in their decision-making. One bias is the preference for simplifying narratives, or relying on stereotypes about what a CEO should look and sound like to privilege candidates who are super confident or have a powerful physical presence or can claim bold, even brash, achievements.
We confronted this bias when we were advising about a succession and recommended the board take a more serious look at a candidate. Theyâd dismissed Alex as not having the needed smarts and being just a solid âdoubles hitterâ rather than the star slugger they were looking for. But our assessments indicated he had the smarts in spades, and as a doubles hitter, he was a real standout. We brought some of his accomplishments that had been underappreciated back to the boardâs attention. We also coached him to project a stronger image, including sprucing up his attire. The combination did the trick, and the board selected Alex, who went on to achieve a great deal of success in an eight-year tenure.