2. Stafford Beer
Later on, Beer would identify it as one of his fundamental axioms: âIt is not necessary to enter the black box to understand the nature of the function it performs.â The underlying idea is somewhat stronger than this: if the black box is a complex system, itâs likely to be pointless â or even dangerous â to try to understand its inner workings and use that understanding to manipulate a precise outcome. This is a matter of respecting the complexity of the problem â a genuinely complex system is one in which you cannot hope to get full or perfect information about the internal structure, and cannot have any acceptable degree of confidence that the bits of information you donât have can be safely ignored. Rather that trying to use a mixture of partial information, preconceived theory and guesswork, you need to step back, accept that the system will keep its secrets, and observe its behaviour. And of course, this means that the different observers might have different opinions. The property of âbeing a black boxâ isnât an objective one â itâs a description of a decision taken by someone working on the system that they donât have enough understanding to safely treat it in any other way. In some of Beerâs writings, the property of complexity itself is also dealt with in this way; rather than trying to count combinations of connections, you define what it is for something to be a complex system by saying that itâs one which has to be treated as a black box.*
*if you can control something in your factory like a machine, itâs a âclear boxâ in this language; there are even âmuddy boxesâ, where more detailed analysis could help understand the relationship between inputs and outputs but the system keeps a few secrets because really detailed analysis would require disproportionate effort.