Early in his career, Altman observed that new CEOs only succeeded if they ârefoundedâ the company. He did this with conviction at YC when he inherited the presidency. He created new programs, including a new fund, to expand the acceleratorâs support for startups at different stages. He moved into hard technologiesâthose that required ambitious scientific innovation, including nuclear fusion, quantum computing, and self-driving cars. Already a prestigious name brand, YCâs sphere of influence grew from a couple hundred companies to thousands a year, turning it into a center of gravity in Silicon Valley. âThe thing that Iâm most proud of is we really built an empire,â Altman said after stepping down as president.
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Both his media savvy and dealmaking, two pillars of his rise, rest on his remarkable ability to tell a good story. In this Altman is a natural. Even knowing as you watch him that his company would ultimately fail, you canât help but be compelled by what heâs saying. He speaks with a casual ease about the singular positioning of his company. His startup is part of the grand, unstoppable trajectory of technology. Consumers and advertisers are clamoring for the service. Donât bet against himâhis success is inevitable.
From both men, Altman also learned the importance of building relationships and creating ânetwork effectsâ as an individual. âIâve heard a lot of different theories about how things get done,â he wrote on his blog in 2013. âHereâs the best one: a combination of focus and personal connections. Charlie Rose said this to Paul Graham, who told it to me.â Altman would later add a third ingredient: self-belief. âFor startups I think itâs really important to add this,â he said. âYou actually have to believe you might do it.â
Through the course of my reporting, I would come to conclude something even more startling. Not even in Silicon Valley did other companies and investors move until after ChatGPT to funnel unqualified sums into scaling. That included Google and DeepMind, OpenAIâs original rival. It was specifically OpenAI, with its billionaire origins, unique ideological bent, and Altmanâs singular drive, network, and fundraising talent, that created a ripe combination for its particular vision to emerge and take over. âI get the sense that Sam is the most ambitious person on the planet,â a former employee says. In other words, everything OpenAI did was the opposite of inevitable; the explosive global costs of its massive deep learning models, and the perilous race it sparked across the industry to scale such models to planetary limits, could only have ever arisen from the one place it actually did.
As OpenAI concentrated its bets, Altman was applying the same strategy to his other projects and investments. Over the years, as heâd shifted toward more hard-tech innovation, he had developed a belief in betting big and long on the most important projects.
âIf you could wave a wand, change anything about the tech, startup, entrepreneurship ecosystem, what would you change?â his brother Jack had asked him at an event as heâd stepped down from YC. âIt would be to get everyone in the ecosystem to take a much longer time horizon,â Altman had said. âThis world where people start a company and plan to run it for four or five years, join a company and only plan to stay for one or twoâthatâs not how important shit gets done.â
Along those lines, 2021 seemed to mark a major shift in Altmanâs personal investment strategy away from taking a large number of small bets toward taking a small number of really large ones. That year a startup heâd cofounded in 2019 called Tools for Humanity that had remained largely quiet saw an influx of funding and media coverage and a concerted ramp-up in its operations, as Altman directed more external attention to the company. The venture was a dedicated effort to develop a working mechanism for universal basic income, or UBI, a popular Silicon Valley idea to give everyone a regular minimum distribution of income. Altman often passionately discussed UBI as the possible antidote to a future world where AI could create mass economic fallout. At YC he had started the largest pilot in the US to study the concept, spinning out a nonprofit in the process called OpenResearch that administered the program. Over three years, OpenResearch gave a $1,000 monthly stipend to a randomly selected group of one thousand out of three thousand low-income people, with the rest getting fifty dollars a month as a control. In July 2024, OpenResearch would release its findings, showing that the unconditional cash helped people meet their basic needs, assist others, and have more economic leeway.
First, the mission centralizes talent by rallying them around a grand ambition, exactly in the way John McCarthy did with his coining of the phrase artificial intelligence. âThe most successful founders do not set out to create companies,â Altman reflected on his blog in 2013. âThey are on a mission to create something closer to a religion, and at some point it turns out that forming a company is the easiest way to do so.â Second, the mission centralizes capital and other resources while eliminating roadblocks, regulation, and dissent. Innovation, modernity, progressâwhat wouldnât we pay to achieve them?