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As OpenAI concentrated its bets, Altman was applying the same strategy to his other projects and investments. Over the years, as he’d shifted toward more hard-tech innovation, he had developed a belief in betting big and long on the most important projects.

“If you could wave a wand, change anything about the tech, startup, entrepreneurship ecosystem, what would you change?” his brother Jack had asked him at an event as he’d stepped down from YC. “It would be to get everyone in the ecosystem to take a much longer time horizon,” Altman had said. “This world where people start a company and plan to run it for four or five years, join a company and only plan to stay for one or two—that’s not how important shit gets done.”

Along those lines, 2021 seemed to mark a major shift in Altman’s personal investment strategy away from taking a large number of small bets toward taking a small number of really large ones. That year a startup he’d cofounded in 2019 called Tools for Humanity that had remained largely quiet saw an influx of funding and media coverage and a concerted ramp-up in its operations, as Altman directed more external attention to the company. The venture was a dedicated effort to develop a working mechanism for universal basic income, or UBI, a popular Silicon Valley idea to give everyone a regular minimum distribution of income. Altman often passionately discussed UBI as the possible antidote to a future world where AI could create mass economic fallout. At YC he had started the largest pilot in the US to study the concept, spinning out a nonprofit in the process called OpenResearch that administered the program. Over three years, OpenResearch gave a $1,000 monthly stipend to a randomly selected group of one thousand out of three thousand low-income people, with the rest getting fifty dollars a month as a control. In July 2024, OpenResearch would release its findings, showing that the unconditional cash helped people meet their basic needs, assist others, and have more economic leeway.